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KPCC
Karnataka Pradesh Congress Committee
2025 Final Roll vs 2026 SIR Draft
Executive Summary for KPCC Leaders
Shri Mallikarjun Kharge
Smt. Sonia Gandhi
Shri K.C. Venugopal
Shri Randeep Singh Surjewala
Shri B.K. Hariprasad
Shri D.K. Shivakumar
Shri Siddaramaiah
Dr. G. Parameshwara
📍 AC 47 Basavakalyan • Bidar District General AC
286 Booths • 2,23,745 Electors • 973 F/1k M

Summary

Key electoral insights and analysis for AC 171 - PADMANABHANAGAR

1

CONSTITUENCY SNAPSHOT

Constituency Details
AC No & Name
:
171 - Padmanabhanagar
Total Booths
:
279
Total Sections
:
1,634
Total Voters
:
1,66,440
Male
:
79,972 (48.0%)
Female
:
86,453 (51.9%)
Others
:
15 (0.01%)
15 centenarian voters, including age 125 and age 112, require data-quality verification.
Special Voter Segments
Senior Citizens (60–80) 38,714
Mother-Dep (M) 4,097
First Time (18–20) 2,228
Super Senior (85+) 1,911
Guardian-Dep (O) 1,471
Overseas Voters 72
Centenarian (100+) 15
50,290 Priority Electors (30.2% of roll) Special voter segments requiring doorstep assistance.
Voter Composition
Male 79,972 (48.0%)
Female 86,453 (51.9%)
Others 15 (0.01%)
Total 166,440
Sex Ratio: 1,081 • +6,481 F Female electors exceed male electors across the draft roll.
2

ELECTORAL ROLL CHANGE

2023
Polled
1,59,991
2025
Total Voters
290,304
2026
Total Voters
166,440
Deleted
128,047
Added
4,188
i
Deleted voters are significantly higher than newly added voters.
Age Group Distribution (2025 vs 2026)
3

ASDDO SUMMARY

Total 126,615
Permanently Shifted 76,803 (60.66%)
Untraceable / Absent 23,917 (18.89%)
EF Refused 12,643 (9.99%)
Death 11,714 (9.25%)
Already Enrolled 1,538 (1.21%)

Nearly 80% of ASDDO cases are linked to permanently shifting or untraceable voters. EF Refused accounts for 12,643 voters.

Top Booths with Highest EF Refused
4

RELIGION SUMMARY

Total 166,440
H/O140,703 (84.54%)
Muslim24,414 (14.67%)
Christian1,323 (0.79%)
Muslim share: 12.12% → 14.67%
Muslim retention: 66.3%
! Key Observation

Muslim share increased from 12.12% in 2025 to 14.67% in 2026 SIR Draft. Retention rate is strong at 66.3%.

Religion Roll Trends (2025 vs 2026)
5

MULTI-ENTRY VOTER ANALYSIS

Total Suspected Duplicate Pairs 1,393
Total Voter Records Involved 2,786
Very High + High Confidence Pairs 306
Strongest Exact-Match Type Pairs 81
Cross-District Booth Pairs 1,328

Most duplicate pairs are across distant booths, requiring careful cross-booth verification.

Duplicate Confidence Breakdown
6

FAMILY GROUPING ANALYSIS

Total Family Groups
7,618
Total Grouped Voters
17,482
Average Family Size
2.29
High Confidence Families
~84%
Families with Missing Anchor
1,387
Age-Gap Validation Failures
1,174

Most family groups are high confidence (~84%), but missing anchors and age-gap anomalies require verification.

Top Family Group Booths (Families vs Voters)
7

LOGICAL DISCREPANCY ANALYSIS

⚠️ Priority Verification Queue
TOTAL FLAGGED RECORDS
47,661
UNMAPPED WITH LAST SIR
34,322 72.0%
Primary Queue
KEY OBSERVATION

72.0% of logical discrepancies are "Unmapped with Last SIR". This should be the first logical-verification work queue.

Reason for Discrepancy Breakdown
Reason for Discrepancy Count Share %
Top Logical Discrepancy Reasons
🎯 Top Booths by Key Logical Discrepancy Cross-dataset review priority
Anomaly Reason Top Concentrated Booths (Booth - Count)
🎯

KEY FOCUS AREAS

-47.65%
Roll Reduction
82,791
Permanently Shifted
47,661
Logical Discrepancies
16
Voters Aged 100+
185
High / Very High Pairs
1,144
Anchor-Missing Families

Actionable Insights

Strategic Priorities, 10-Day Field Plan & Elector Assistance (AC 171)

1

KEY OBSERVATIONS

1

42.7% Roll Contraction

The 2026 SIR Draft has 42.7% fewer voter records than the 2025 Final Roll, requiring detailed booth-level reconciliation.

2

Extreme Deletion in Selected Booths

Some booths (e.g., 103, 104, 112, 109, 209) show 60–69% deletion rates, far above the constituency average.

3

EF Refused is a Major Issue

12,643 voters are marked EF Refused, needing a separate verification and outreach approach. This is not the same as death or permanent shifting.

4

Centenarian / Age Anomalies Need Verification

15 voters aged 100 or above (including age 125 in Booth 8 and age 112 in Booth 25) are present in the draft roll. All are marked as Retained.

5

Mobility & Traceability are Dominant Drivers

Nearly 80% of ASDDO cases are due to permanently shifted (60.66%) or untraceable / absent (18.89%) voters.

6

Issues are Geographically Concentrated

Deletion, additions, refusals and data anomalies are concentrated in specific booths, making booth-level action essential.

2

KPCC PRIORITY ACTION PLAN

FOCUS | VERIFY | ASSIST | STRENGTHEN
1

Critical Booth Verification

  • Focus on 28 critical booths, starting with 103, 104, 109, 112, 209, 31, 10, 102, 134, 235.
  • Analyse deletion, additions, ASDDO reasons and data anomalies section-wise.
2

Deleted - ASDDO Reconciliation

  • Match every deleted EPIC with ASDDO reason codes.
  • Classify: Shifted / Untraceable / EF Refused / Death / Already Enrolled / No Match.
  • Build a consolidated reconciliation dashboard.
3

EF Refused & Untraceable Follow-Up

  • Create booth-wise lists for EF Refused (12,643) and Untraceable / Absent (23,917).
  • Identify still-traceable voters and assist through lawful electoral-roll processes.
  • Run voter-awareness and support outreach in high-refusal booths.
4

High Addition Review

  • Verify top addition booths (187, 188, 108, 218, 201) and the 185–193 cluster.
  • Understand whether additions are new 18–20 voters, shifted-in voters, new residential development or corrections.
5

Duplicate & Data Anomaly Verification

  • Review 306 high/very high confidence duplicate pairs (start with 81 very high).
  • Verify all 15 voters aged 100+ (including age 125 and 112).
  • Check family-anchor gaps and retained-status mismatches.
6

Booth Ownership & Monitoring

  • Assign responsible team/person for each priority booth.
  • Track verification progress with clear KPIs.
  • Review at constituency and district level with weekly updates.
3

10-DAY EXECUTION PLAN – HIGH LEVEL SUMMARY

FROM ANALYSIS TO ACTION IN 10 DAYS
1 Day 1 Data freeze & booth prioritisation
➔
2 Day 2 Deleted-ASDDO reconciliation
➔
3 Day 3 Critical booth review (top deletion booths)
➔
4 Day 4 EF Refused special review
➔
5 Day 5 Age 100+ & data anomaly verification
➔
6 Day 6 High addition booth review
➔
7 Day 7 Duplicate verification
➔
8 Day 8 Family-based verification
➔
9 Day 9 Booth-level consolidation
➔
10 Day 10 Leadership review & final dashboard
4

EXPECTED OUTCOMES

Clear understanding

of genuine vs. erroneous deletions

Assistance to eligible voters

through lawful processes

Clean and reliable

voter data for future elections

Stronger booth-level

organisation and voter connect

5

OUR COMMITMENT

“

Every eligible voter must have a fair opportunity to be counted. With accurate data, strong organisation and people’s participation, we can build a more inclusive and stronger Karnataka.

– KARNATAKA PRADESH CONGRESS COMMITTEE (KPCC)
PEOPLE • PARTICIPATION • PROGRESS
Booth #103